Market Timing and Market Forecasting

A few decades ago, it was widely believed that the most effective way to analyze the markets for trade was to determine the fundamentals, such as the number of bushels in storage, the current demand figures, the expected harvest yield, etc. Many assumed that Technical Analysis was not useful. Reasons given were that price action is random, or that it ignores the fundamental factors of the underlying asset. The facts are quite the contrary.

Many have come to learn that the old ‘buy and hold’ strategy can be a costly one. Stories abound of those who have found the value of their portfolio has only broken even (or lost value) after holding for several years. The financial crisis of 2008 highlights one of several historical periods where investors have lost millions. While it is always a good idea to know a company’s financial health as well as their future potential in sales/profits, what may be a healthy financial statement and outlook today can look a lot different tomorrow.

Technical analysis focuses on price movement, anticipating price direction based on its ebbs and flows (ie. swings, cycles, etc.). Fundamental factors of any asset is built into price action, as the market discounts everything. In addition, history tends to repeat itself and this repetitive nature of price action can be anticipated and taken advantage of.

Many technicians rely on various indicators that help expose some aspect of historical price data for the use of timing. Where one indicator might highlight some underlying cycle pattern that could help anticipate the next trend change period, another indicator might highlight a markets overbought or oversold condition, all relative to past price action.

The technical analyst relies heavily on price charts. Certain patterns often repeat giving the technician a heads-up to a potential price break. Such patterns are given names, such as the ‘Head-and-sholders’ pattern, the ‘wedge’ or ‘flag’ formation, etc. All of these technical approaches are useful to some degree.

Precise market timing is crucial in today’s volatile markets. Without greater precision in timing, the trader is exposed to a higher degree of risk and can leave more profit on the table.

Let me illustrate this.

For the sake of discussion, suppose that the price range of each trading day is 50 points. If your allowable risk exposure (how far you will allow the market to move against your position) is 50 points, you must enter the market on the exact day you expect the move to start in your favor to avoid being stopped out with a loss. If your allowable risk exposure is 100 points, you must be accurate in your timing within +/- one day to avoid getting stopped out with a loss. This highlights the importance of precision market timing.

Now in the real world, each day the price range varies from the next. Depending on how effective your market timing approach happens to be, you may be able to risk less than the average range in points. The less precise your market timing approach happens to be, the more you should initially risk on the trade.

While market timing itself can be loosely done using standard technical indicators, trend lines and moving averages, precision market timing is achievable with good market forecasting methods. Market forecasting for market timing purposes is extremely effective because, unlike most technical indicators that are ‘leading’ or ‘lagging’ in nature, a good market forecasting method can forecast a market turn to an exact day of a trend change. Giving any market forecasting method a small deviation allowance of +/- one day can give any trader an incredible edge in predicting market turns for the purpose of precision market timing and trading.

Some traders are historical legends having used market forecasting methods for precision market timing purposes. Who has not heard of William Delbert Gann (better known as WD Gann)? This financial trader is famous for developing several technical approaches, such as the use of Gann angles or the trend indicator. His forecasting methods included the use of the Square of Nine, cycle analysis and market geometry. By using ‘market forecasting’ tools such as these and others, he is famously reported to have many times turned a small amount of money into a large amount rather quickly.

So there are two main points that I hope you have garnered by reading this article. Point #1 is that in order to better manage your risk exposure and maximize your profit potential, the more precise you need to be with your market timing approach. Point #2 is that the most precise way to time the markets is to take advantage of market forecasting techniques, where often you can time your trades to the exact day of a new move.

There are many market forecasting secrets, methods and techniques that you can learn right now to improve your market timing. Some are good, some not so good. I have spent over three decades learning, testing and discovering market forecasting approaches. When I started, there was not much available as there are today. So it has definitely seen some growth over the years and therefore you should have no problem finding the approaches that will fit your style of trading and investing.

New Digital Marketing and Lead Generation Marketing Tactics for Converting More Leads in 2017

Facebook Marketing: The Basics of Facebook Ads

As a Marketing Tool Facebook also provides a lot of fun things for people to do. It has applications that can let members interact with each other and it also provides a great way for people to communicate with each other.

Facebook is now the hottest social networking website today. It has over 62 million active members and is still continuing to grow to this day. With Facebook, people are able to build networks of friends, keep in touch with their old friends as well as build new relationships.
Because Facebook generates a lot of traffic each day with millions of people either logging in or out or subscribing to new accounts, it has now grown to be one of the best places to market products and services.

Today, Facebook is one of the hottest social networking websites available in the internet. Here, you will be able to keep in touch with your friends as well as your relatives and even meet new friends and build new relationships. With all the tools and applications that Facebook has to offer, you will see that it is a lot of fun and it will definitely provide a great way for you to interact with other people with accounts on Facebook.

However, you have to consider the fact that Facebook is not only a website that you can use to connect with your friends. It is also a tool that you can use to market the products and services you offer. If you have an online business or you are an internet marketer, you will see that Facebook is the perfect place to market in the internet.

With over 62 million subscribers from all over the world, you will see that this website is truly the internet marketer’s dream. So, here are some tips that you can use in order to use Facebook at its full potential and let it help you make a lot of money. The first thing that you need to remember is that once you have a Facebook account, you might want to fill out your profile. Don’t just include your name, age and other basic things, but you need to really fill your profile page. You need to remember that the best profile is often a profile that is fully completed. Once you establish your network, just don’t stay in that circle. Try to interact with other people within your industry. This is a great way to build new relationships and is also a great way to market your products or services as well as your business website. To do this, you might want to join groups related to your profession. This way, you will be able to meet people that are also interested in what you have to offer.

You have to remember that Facebook is all about connecting and interacting with other members. So, you shouldn’t be shy. Try interacting with other members. Once you establish a relationship, then you will be able to expand your network and improve your marketing strategy. In internet marketing, getting targeted traffic is the key to success. If you have a Facebook profile page, you might want to make a unique profile page in order to catch other people’s attention. Try adding some applications, such as games and add some videos as well as syndicate your blog website using RSS. By doing these things, you will be able to provide people with lots of fun things to do in your profile page. These are some of the things that you need to do in order to successfully market in Facebook. Always remember that getting people to view your profile page is the key to success in Facebook marketing.

Through these tips, you can be sure that you will get a lot of viewers in your profile page and increase the chances of getting them in your business website or get them to buy your products or services. Remember these tips, and you will see that you will be able to become successful in marketing in Facebook. Always remember that you need to work hard in order for you to become successful in Facebook. It’s so popular among internet marketers that Facebook developed an ads system called the Facebook Ads. Basically, the Facebook Ads is a pay per click program offered to marketers in Facebook. The great thing about Facebook Ads is that it is very affordable and you will never worry about spending too much money on advertising without getting any return on your investment.

If you have a small budget and you are currently experimenting with your marketing strategy in order to know what is going to work for you and the products or services you are offering, then Facebook Ads is perfect for you. You need to consider the fact that spending a lot on pay per click ads can have a negative impact to your business. Here are some things that you need to consider in high cost advertising. The first thing you need to remember when you are investing in advertising is that you have no idea if the products or services you are offering will convert. You also have no idea whatsoever if there is even a demand for what you have to offer. All in all, you don’t really have any idea what’s going to happen. Now, with this kind of risk, why would you setup a 100 dollars a day budget for pay per click advertising when you can get it at face book for only 10 dollars a day. When you are just starting and experimenting with your ad campaign, this is a great way to do it. If it works out and you want more targeted traffic, you can increase your budget up to 20 dollars.

From there, you can just move your budget up. If the ad didn’t turn out as expected, you can always improve it without increasing your budget. Always remember that spending more is not really a good thing especially when marketing is concerned. You have to remember that making huge jumps in the internet is not really how it’s done. Start out small and work your way up. It may take time, but with this method, you will see that you will have little to lose and everything to gain. When advertising in Facebook Ads, try to test your advertising for your products and services for a week or two with an affordable budget. By doing this, you will be able to find out what works and what doesn’t. This is how you advertise in Facebook Ads. As you can see, Facebook Ads will provide a way for you to advertise in the internet without spending too much money. Always remember that when internet marketing is concerned, there is nothing wrong in starting out small.

Business Growth Secret Revealed – Using a Marketing Calendar

Using a marketing calendar
Many business owners may not necessarily be doing their marketing planning this way or may choose to be doing this in a similar way. Either way, using a marketing calendar can be hugely successful strategy to grow your business through effective marketing.

What is a marketing calendar?
A marketing calendar is a way to organize your marketing activity to specific dates or deadlines relevant to the target markets of your business;

For example a florist could target mother’s day marketing and promotion. It may be a more general month target of for instance targeting Christmas shoppers in November. It can also be used to schedule information or promotion to clients who have been engaged to services for a specific period, such as an insurance company may wish to do certain marketing activities prior to renewal dates for instance.

A marketing calendar can be a way of aiming at different key target markets throughout the year and aligning all the marketing efforts for greater impact in gaining your target markets.

You may also notice trends at certain times of the year, which you may choose to attempt to exploit more fully in your marketing calendar planning. For instance a financial planner may see a spike in new year resolutions leading to more interest in wealth creation early in the new year.

How to do a marketing calendar?
Your marketing calendar is a working document you can revise and update throughout the plan year. A marketing calendar should be simple. I recommend a simple spreadsheet matrix with months or dates with your key target market type described along with the key marketing efforts directed at that target market.

Go back and review your target markets.
A good business should know exactly who or what kind of client or customers it would like. Remind yourself the types of target markets that you may be winning more, make more money from, have more competitive strengths in, more specialized in or even just downright enjoy more. The key is don’t be too broad or have too many. The more specific your target market is, the easier your marketing becomes and chance of marketing success.

Review all of your marketing activity
If you haven’t already done so, go on and write down all your marketing efforts in detail and check on just how effective each marketing tool is for you. To state the obvious you should then consider putting more focus on the ones that work and eliminating the ones that don’t work. You could also try to match certain ones to the different target markets.

Some examples of your marketing efforts maybe be:
• Signage

• Social media

• Websites

• Referral partners

• Business networking

• Paid online marketing

• Asking for referrals

• Web blogging or SEO

• newsletters

What if this doesn’t apply to your type of business?
Perhaps your business is not at all dependent on the date or time of the year. If so, consider just having after care schedules to perhaps ask for referrals or cross sell you at a certain point after a sale.

Where do I find the time to do this?

Well often business owners do not get out of the business long enough to develop some systems to improve their businesses. If this is the case they are unlikely to get different results.

So they need to look at ways to free up their time to devote in this area. This can be achieved by delegating or training staff to be more capable and giving the business owner more time to develop their business.

Otherwise they may simply outsource their marketing and grow their business that way.

Some other examples
• One business owner says he arranges a highly discounted sale of stock or wrongly sized materials. As well as clearing out stock, staying tidy, it brought in new people into his showroom and lead to sale of his real product too.

• Use a regular say monthly newsletter of useful information or stock listing to your customer list. It will be a great way to keep you in mind of the customers. You may also be inviting them to buy or use your services at the perfect time they may be considering that very purchase at that time.

• Curiously at times of elections spending can slump in economies. So you could factor this into your marketing calendar too.

Here are some reasons why a marketing calendar will help your business grow
1. having a plan gets you to a destination. You will be efficient in knowing what to do at certain times of the year and can repeat these year in year out.

2. Focusing on less gets you a better result. Improving your efficiency from your marketing tools will get you better results.

3. More clients and customers come with more marketing activity. Thinking in this way and implementing a system to gain new clients will be effective in improving your sales.

4. Improve your branding and reputation. Honestly, being consistent and having good marketing activity will make you appear to be an even more successful business therefore attracting more clients and customers.

5. Become more productive. By working on your business you will learn how to outsource and delegate. This will also get your more profit or results with your time.

6. Making more success in your business always improves your personal life balance. So having more profits may in turn means more holidays or more staff to help you better enjoy your non working life.